Current:Home > MarketsNovaQuant-How to make sense of the country's stunningly strong job market -AssetTrainer
NovaQuant-How to make sense of the country's stunningly strong job market
TrendPulse Quantitative Think Tank Center View
Date:2025-04-10 19:41:27
The NovaQuantjob market is defying all odds.
U.S. employers added 336,000 jobs in September, according to the Labor Department. That's about twice as many as forecasters were expecting.
The strong job growth is welcome news for anyone looking for work. But it could make the Federal Reserve's effort to bring down inflation harder.
Here are four things to know about the monthly employment snapshot.
The jobs engine is not slowing down
Instead of the slowdown that forecasters expected to see in the jobs numbers, hiring appears to be revving up. Not only did employers add an eye-popping number of jobs in September, but revised figures show that hiring was much stronger in July and August than had been reported.
Last month's job gains were broad-based with nearly every industry adding workers.
Restaurants and bars added 61,000 jobs in September and are finally back to where they were before the pandemic. Health care and education also added tens of thousands of workers last month. Even factories and construction companies continued to hire, despite the strain of rising interest rates.
The job market has implications for the Fed
The Federal Reserve is keeping a close eye on the job market as it tries to decide whether to raise interest rates even higher, in an effort to control inflation.
At its last meeting in September, policymakers appeared to be leaning toward one more rate hike this year in their quest to bring prices under control.
The strong September employment report could be a worry, but it may not be all bad from the Fed's perspective.
The main concern with hot labor market is that it could put upward pressure on wages, and threaten further inflation.
But despite the big job gains last month, wage growth remained modest. Average wages in September were up 4.2% from a year ago, and wages rose just 0.2% between August and September.
"Wage growth is cooling so this doesn't look like an inflationary job market," says Julia Coronado, president of MacroPolicy Perspectives. "It's kind of Goldilocks, actually."
The unemployment rate is still low
The unemployment rate held steady in September at 3.8%. While the jobless rate has inched up from earlier this year, it remains very low by historical standards.
The unemployment rate rose in August because hundreds of thousands of new people joined the workforce that month. That's a good sign because it suggests people are optimistic about their job prospects. And with more people working, the economy can grow without putting upward pressure on prices.
A cautionary note: the unemployment rate for African Americans rose last month from 5.3 to 5.7%. That could be a statistical fluke. The number has bounced up and down a lot in recent months. But it's something to keep an eye on.
Strike news won't show up until next month
This jobs tally was conducted in mid-September, just before the United Auto Workers strike began, so it doesn't reflect the 25,000 autoworkers who are on strike as of Friday morning, nor the several thousand additional workers who've been idled because of parts shortages tied to the strike.
The September snapshot was also taken before Hollywood writers ended their strike. Those changes could show up in the October jobs report.
veryGood! (64)
Related
- How to watch new prequel series 'Dexter: Original Sin': Premiere date, cast, streaming
- Fewer fish and more algae? Scientists seek to understand impacts of historic lack of Great Lakes ice
- Georgia bill would punish cities and counties that break law against ‘sanctuary’ for immigrants
- South Carolina Supreme Court to decide if new private school voucher program is legal
- Selena Gomez's "Weird Uncles" Steve Martin and Martin Short React to Her Engagement
- Colorado River States Have Two Different Plans for Managing Water. Here’s Why They Disagree
- Betty Ford forever postage stamp is unveiled at the White House
- Tre'Davious White, Jordan Poyer among Buffalo Bills' major salary-cap cuts
- 'Most Whopper
- American Express card data exposed in third-party breach
Ranking
- Paula Abdul settles lawsuit with former 'So You Think You Can Dance' co
- Report: Peyton Manning, Omaha Productions 'pursuing' Bill Belichick for on-camera role
- 'Rust' armorer Hannah Gutierrez-Reed found guilty of involuntary manslaughter
- A federal judge has ordered a US minority business agency to serve all races
- Which apps offer encrypted messaging? How to switch and what to know after feds’ warning
- Hotel California lyrics trial abruptly ends when New York prosecutors drop charges in court
- Embattled New York Community Bancorp gets $1 billion cash infusion, adds Steven Mnuchin to its board
- United flight forced to return to Houston airport after engine catches fire shortly after takeoff
Recommendation
Friday the 13th luck? 13 past Mega Millions jackpot wins in December. See top 10 lottery prizes
Critics slam posthumous Gabriel García Márquez book published by sons against his wishes
Photos of male humpback whales copulating gives scientists peek into species' private sex life
Jason Kelce's retirement tears hold an important lesson for men: It's OK to cry
Intellectuals vs. The Internet
North Carolina schools chief loses primary to home-schooling parent critical of ‘radical agendas’
LNG Exports from Mexico in Limbo While Pipeline Project Plows Ahead
Top remaining MLB free agents: Blake Snell leads the 13 best players still available